Psychohistory becomes reality
The last three months (or so), every week I read something that triggers me to write a post. There are a lot of things going on, so post writing is ... postponed! Then the next wow thing happens ... It is kind of frustrating. So, this time, I decided to act quickly!
Isaac Asimov in his "Foundation" science fiction book, among other things, talks about Psychohistory: a mathematical model that allows one to predict the future course of history based on the current situation.
On March 7, 2026, a piece of software named MiroFish provided evidence that it may do what Asimov described as Psychohistory! MiroFish reached the top of GitHub’s global trending list. It surpassed repositories from OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft. The creator is Guo Hangjiang, a 20-year-old student at Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications. The software was built in ten (10) days (something that two years ago would be impossible)! Extract from the README.md of its github repository:
MiroFish is a next-generation AI prediction engine powered by multi-agent technology. By extracting seed information from the real world (such as breaking news, policy drafts, or financial signals), it automatically constructs a high-fidelity parallel digital world. Within this space, thousands of intelligent agents with independent personalities, long-term memory, and behavioral logic freely interact and undergo social evolution. You can inject variables dynamically from a "God's-eye view" to precisely deduce future trajectories — rehearse the future in a digital sandbox, and win decisions after countless simulations.
MiroFish is an interface that uses as backend the OASIS engine (an AI framework developed by the CAMEL-AI research community, which was open-sourced in December 2024). Extract from the README.md of its github repository:
OASIS is a scalable, open-source social media simulator that incorporates large language model agents to realistically mimic the behavior of up to one million users on platforms like Twitter and Reddit. It's designed to facilitate the study of complex social phenomena such as information spread, group polarization, and herd behavior, offering a versatile tool for exploring diverse social dynamics and user interactions in digital environments.
The question is now: how are governments and corporations are going to use it?
There are limitations of course. The triggering article may be found under the title "A 20-Year-Old Student Built an AI That Simulates Entire Societies to Predict the Future ! Then a Billionaire Gave Him $4 Million the Next Morning." in Medium.
